Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.139727 0.163597 0.189864 0.220851 0.256342 0.295654 0.342431
2026-01-11 0.101474 0.133964 0.173632 0.225320 0.290547 0.369751 0.472790
2026-01-18 0.079462 0.114910 0.161699 0.227302 0.316104 0.431214 0.590627
2026-01-25 0.064412 0.100581 0.151536 0.227423 0.336171 0.484716 0.700879
2026-02-01 0.052769 0.088287 0.141313 0.224597 0.350014 0.529228 0.801273
2026-02-08 0.043743 0.078004 0.131952 0.220873 0.360876 0.569121 0.897239
2026-02-15 0.035727 0.067750 0.120812 0.212364 0.362665 0.594731 0.973192
2026-02-22 0.032873 0.065652 0.122332 0.223906 0.396495 0.671215 1.131919
2026-03-01 0.027678 0.058424 0.114050 0.217799 0.400531 0.700736 1.218884
2026-03-08 0.023157 0.051623 0.105460 0.209847 0.400181 0.722478 1.294208
2026-03-15 0.019807 0.046512 0.099184 0.205105 0.404573 0.751933 1.383866
2026-03-22 0.017904 0.044051 0.097591 0.208789 0.424221 0.808675 1.523607
2026-03-29 0.016516 0.042531 0.097773 0.216134 0.451766 0.882198 1.699471
2026-04-05 0.015004 0.040476 0.096594 0.220663 0.474478 0.949023 1.868850
2026-04-12 0.013471 0.038079 0.094330 0.222621 0.492221 1.007905 2.027838
2026-04-19 0.012005 0.035558 0.091402 0.222741 0.506119 1.060356 2.178248
2026-04-26 0.010541 0.032748 0.087396 0.219969 0.513671 1.101002 2.308957
2026-05-03 0.009222 0.030052 0.083246 0.216314 0.518879 1.137232 2.433377
2026-05-10 0.007835 0.026864 0.077402 0.207964 0.513003 1.150648 2.513754
2026-05-17 0.007569 0.026910 0.079722 0.219291 0.551635 1.257387 2.786833
2026-05-24 0.006554 0.024458 0.075179 0.213297 0.550508 1.281496 2.894084
2026-05-31 0.005604 0.021985 0.070179 0.205494 0.544338 1.294303 2.978648
2026-06-07 0.004892 0.020130 0.066591 0.200841 0.545075 1.321848 3.095591